Kano, Dracai of Aether
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Davide Rizzi (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Easton Douglas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nick Butcher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
90th • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ashley Chiu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Victor Brøcker (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Alexandros Argyriou (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Zen | 50% | Loss |
121st • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafael Boog (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Melissakis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Laurin Niehues (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dominic Delmont (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Suciu Andrei (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
15:85
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frederik Emil Hansen (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hugo Ribeiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Birgir Hrafn Buason (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clark Jansen (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Samuel Braben (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Lorenzi (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas On (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tegan Smerdon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Miranda (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fedir Kokhan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
dropped • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josep Giné (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Reyes (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ricardo Rua (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Easton Douglas (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Dodd (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Bonde (Unknown)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexandros Argyriou (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zen | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Canning (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josep Giné (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Stoberock (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.