Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Pro Tour Amsterdam 2024

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chandler To

39th • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.9

Surp

4.6

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lewis Foulkes (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 29:71

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cameron Miller (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

30:70

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Feng (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 29:71

R13

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Matt Rogers (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R14

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.68
R4	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R11	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.82
R12	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R13	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.62
R14	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Eugene C

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Smith (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 29:71

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Unknown)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.32

Nicolas CAMPIGLIA

dropped • 0-3-1

50%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 29:71

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Damian van Beek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.