Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Calling: Atlanta 2026
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
31 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
41st • 8-5-0
54%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Van Tatenhove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Doug Frauman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Griesdorn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joe Fisher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zack Phillips (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bryan Sweeney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Zach Roach (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
48th • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Davey (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Ignacio Lorenzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Pudim (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Justin Fan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kellen Smallwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Round 12: Win vs Dan Mui (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tommy Day (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Whittall-Kamm (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Coons (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Sauer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cody Blackmore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Melson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Bruner (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bryam Silva (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Esaki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Johnson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Montalbano (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Qihang Yuan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
Round 5: Win vs Derrick Azelton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hakan Gunes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Silvester Nava (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bryam Silva (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nox Ellis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason Brantley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Nunn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Codi Barnett (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Evan Herndon (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Reyes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Tillinghast (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayden Lounsbury (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Garrison (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs David Bruner (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Carter Garrett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Screen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Bartley (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kristian Schnell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christoph Munzig (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Williams (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fernando Forte (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Sauer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Hiffa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Maggert (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs David Bruner (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andres dos Santos Ramirez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shelby Main (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maxwell Ross (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matt Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Vu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Bruner (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zach Roach (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs zion moore (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Round 7: Win vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Skyler Lewis (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Manwaring (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Lundie (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Bridges (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dallin Wallenda (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 2: Win vs David Maddox (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Win vs Ignacio Lorenzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brady Hayes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Kelly (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-1
88%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Perry (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Benoit (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Coughlin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Christian Hopkins (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeffrey Rybak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wesley Eaton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Maggert (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Andres dos Santos Ramirez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Curtis Roth (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Katia McCarthy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Win vs John Holland (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Perry (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Brown (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua White (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wesley Hamilton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tanner Parshall (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Porter Jones (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roy Mojica (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brooke Ritchie (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Sophia Claire (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Denis Yudayev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jake Screen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roy Mojica (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jr . (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shlomo Amsel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Timlin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Pearlman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Raimello Jackson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Walker Stephens (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs John Houder (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Callahan (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cole Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Cody Blackmore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Morrison (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andre Judd (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyle Proctor (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaleb Hackett (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Blaine Pascu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anna Towle (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Avery (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kieran Jackson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Addison Barrett (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Lopez (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Lund (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kellen Smallwood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eris Schmidt (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shaun Hannon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs marcellus hunter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexandros Gloor (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Southon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pedro Esaki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Green (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Benoit (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charles Poe (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Crandall (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Wilson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Skyler Lewis (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Phillip Pelley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zac Manmiller (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Drew Walker (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Spencer Fritts (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christoph Munzig (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Ellwood (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Alvarez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Crabtree (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Muus (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Caleb Jansen (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Ross (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Hanson (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Pelley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Aucoin Jr (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Bartley (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Kowalczyk (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.