Arakni, Marionette at Calling: Atlanta 2026
Arakni, Marionette
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+4.1
Perf
6.5
Surp
6.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hans Schubert (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Johnson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luis Maderas (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hakan Gunes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matt Muus (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 13: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
33rd • 9-4-0
85%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bill Evans (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Melson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Danny Mercer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sawyer Stalcup (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Griffin Arnold (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew W (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hakan Gunes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Patrick Nguyen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
54th • 8-4-1
69%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.4
Surp
4.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Robinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Nguyen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carlos Rosario (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phillip Kendall (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Will Joseph (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brady Hayes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Doug Frauman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs Dan Mui (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Derrick Azelton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Robert HaoJia Wang (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Draw |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan Herndon (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carson Coker (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Denis Yudayev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Crowley (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shawn Walker (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mason Laney (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Edwin Ahn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stephanie Hine (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zak Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Ellwood (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Wellendorf (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kellen Wheaton (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sean Soderman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Macgowan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Meriwether (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phillip Bradford (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Michael (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zack Phillips (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Dietrich (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Fan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Maddox (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Richardson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs James Lewis (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jr . (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Neil Murray (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Kristian Schnell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Maggert (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tae Kim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Durwood Moore (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Beckford (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Durwood Moore (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Devine (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zach Roach (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Olson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Delgado (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chandler Cook (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Zheng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 5: Win vs John Hathaway (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Rich (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Rosario (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Pistel (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Herr (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pedro Esaki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Young (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Payne (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Camacho (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Callahan (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Richardson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nox Ellis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Cody Santo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dalton Altman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Henry (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-0-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jared Warden (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.