Aurora, Legacy of Tempest at Calling: Atlanta 2026
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
49th • 8-5-0
77%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Porter Jones (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zackary Young (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Voigt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Chase Reiser (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sean Judd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kellen Wheaton (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Holden Isaacs (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Edwin Ahn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Winry Owen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Austin Ryan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Lindley (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Zheng (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Ellwood (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Ortiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryan Kelly (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kyle Nunn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Charlie Malone (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kieran Jackson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ally <3 (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Towne (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Drew Walker (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrew Lantz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-1
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Aneil Seetharam (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Hayden Christoffersen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Hortman (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew W (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Epermanis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shane Cooper (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Dasher (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Payne (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Khoi Doan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jo Burch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Lee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Richard Moore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Hiffa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Millwee (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Colmenares (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Aucoin Jr (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Waldon (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel West (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josh Chrvala (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Tillinghast (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Crowley (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Julian Gonzalez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Kowalczyk (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edward Pudim (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Olivia Siegel (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs EJ Good (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Sells (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Wilkins (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Malice, Domina of the Dead | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fernando Forte (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jean Paul Negron (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Skyler Lewis (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chuck Hutchins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Pudim (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Harden (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Blankenship (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.