Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster at Calling: Atlanta 2026

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jesse Hudak

24th • 9-4-0

100%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

6.5

Surp

4.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vyas Kepler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matt Gaskin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Majeski (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs juniper dowell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Epermanis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Christiano Cavallo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Holden Isaacs (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Mara Faris (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Matt Muus (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R13

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs William Pistel (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.15
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.46
R7	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.69
R10	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.77
R11	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Caleb Jansen

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Manwaring (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mason Laney (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Devin Rataiczak (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andy truong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Evan Dasher (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Viserai, the Forsaken	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jared Warden

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs CODY READY (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Nazario (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Winry Owen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Carlos Rosario

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Garrett Fritts (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Paciorek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hakan Gunes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Malice, Domina of the Dead	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chad Garr

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jarik Caisse (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dorian O'Lochlayne (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Cordoma (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.