Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Atlanta 2026

Valda, Seismic Impact

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jared Thompson

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Nieves Santiago (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Senokossoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Paul Sauer (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Christopher Cordoma (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Xander Toepfer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Stephan DeNise

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Callahan (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Steven Galarza (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Roberto Carriazo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs David Senokossoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Shane Martin

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Colin Ross (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Santiago Bolivar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sean Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Frank Kuenneke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Marley

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Stone (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cameron Norman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Neil Fitzgerald (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rodrigo Martinez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joe Fisher

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joshua White (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Justin Fan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Melson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Perry (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sarah Schulze

dropped • 0-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Summer Giles (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs AJ Gramlich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Dietrich (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Chambers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Billy Smith

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Maddox (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Tucker (Malice, Domina of the Dead) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Morris (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Malice, Domina of the Dead	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.