Blaze, Firemind at Sunday Showdown: Edinburgh 2026

Blaze, Firemind

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Samed Demir

5th • 5-3-0

25%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.5

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Juan Chacon (Oldhim) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Oldhim) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Oldhim) - Expected: 35:65

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Enigma) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jude Cornett (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Oscilio) - Expected: 27:73

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Oscilio) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.38
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	15%	Win	✗	0.86	1.80
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.78
R7	Silver Age	Oscilio	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R8	Silver Age	Oscilio	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Warre Sevens

13th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Stuart Clark (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Oldhim) - Expected: 35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Arnold Baars (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Declan Patrick (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.90
R7	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Liam Canning

21st • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs James Clark (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Robin Lesage (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dylan Thompson (Oldhim) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Lucas de Oliveira Pacheco (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.08
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.45
R4	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.75
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.30
R7	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Declan Patrick

23rd • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Wallace Pate (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alex Neseyif-Deakin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 82:18

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs David Leigh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Fraser Wallace (Iyslander) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jay Malone (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.08
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.72
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.90
R7	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Emlyn Ingram

33rd • 3-3-1

71%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Reichhart (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Jud (Iyslander) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ilya Pokusaev (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jennifer Buchanan (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Draw vs Alan Williams (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Oldhim) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.35
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Duncan Macbeth

38th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Valtteri Kurhela (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Wallace Pate (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jorge Hernández (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Barry Buchanan (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jennifer Buchanan (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Lewis Reid (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.75
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

James Goode-Hamy

dropped • 1-5-0

67%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas de Oliveira Pacheco (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs anthony blakeman (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alan Williams (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Rhys Francis (Briar) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 82:18

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.29

Kristopher Ryan-Clout

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Spencer Baker (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Oscilio) - Expected: 27:73

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 14:86

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Neseyif-Deakin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.