Dromai at Sunday Showdown: Edinburgh 2026

Dromai

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jude Cornett

10th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Duncan Macbeth (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 52:48

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ben Cabrelli (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Oscilio) - Expected: 31:69

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Samed Demir (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.19
R6	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Rob van der Burgh

25th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mario Donoso (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Oscilio) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Spencer Baker (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas de Oliveira Pacheco (Fai) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Oldhim) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.17

Spencer Baker

29th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kristopher Ryan-Clout (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 52:48

5:95

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Craig Canning (Rhinar) - Expected: 7:93, underdog victory

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kin Yen Lee (Lexi) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Dromai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs David Watt (Oscilio) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Liam Blakeman (Fai) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Wallace Pate (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	5%	Win	✗	0.93	1.12
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.70
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Robin Lesage

37th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jennifer Buchanan (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Oscilio) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas de Oliveira Pacheco (Fai) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs anthony blakeman (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Liam Canning (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Rhys Francis (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

90:10

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Dorinthea) - Expected: 91:9

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.59
R5	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	90%	Win	✓	0.09	0.14

Barry Buchanan

40th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Simon MacDonald (Enigma) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Marco Casadio (Enigma) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Patrick Jud (Iyslander) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Oldhim) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Duncan Macbeth (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 52:48

90:10

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Dorinthea) - Expected: 91:9

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs anthony blakeman (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.51
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	90%	Win	✓	0.09	0.12
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Tim Dasiukevich

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ilya Pokusaev (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Winning (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Oldhim) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Elista Cyrek (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Oscilio) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.35
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.69
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R6	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Bruno Vale Fernandes

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Liam Blakeman (Fai) - Expected: 57:43

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Simon MacDonald (Enigma) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Liam Canning (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.11
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.