Fai at Sunday Showdown: Edinburgh 2026

Fai

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

David Calf

5th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.9

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jorge Hernández (Briar) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Briar) - Expected: 33:67

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Oldhim) - Expected: 67:33

90:10

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Marco Casadio (Enigma) - Expected: 89:11

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Oldhim) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Oscilio) - Expected: 50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.22
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.08
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.37
R6	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.19
R7	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrew Singleton

9th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs James Goode-Hamy (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Oldhim) - Expected: 67:33

90:10

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Enigma) - Expected: 89:11

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Liam Canning (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Oscilio) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Reichhart (Briar) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Briar) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.07
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.58

Jack Warren

11th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alan Williams (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Fraser Wallace (Iyslander) - Expected: 63:37

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Briar) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs David Watt (Oscilio) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Atkinson (Oscilio) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Oscilio) - Expected: 50:50

90:10

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 89:11

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.19
R3	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.17

Lucas de Oliveira Pacheco

12th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David Watt (Oscilio) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs James Goode-Hamy (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Robin Lesage (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Lewis Reid (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Liam Canning (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.52
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.52
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.86
R6	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Liam Blakeman

42nd • 2-5-0

29%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jay Malone (Briar) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jorge Hernández (Briar) - Expected: 33:67

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Fraser Wallace (Iyslander) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Spencer Baker (Dromai) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ilya Pokusaev (Briar) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.48
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.