Bravo, Flattering Showman at Sunday Showdown: Edinburgh 2026

Bravo, Flattering Showman

Bravo, Flattering Showman

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

27th • 4-2-1

86%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

Fai

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jack Warren (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

Bravo, Flattering Showman

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Lewis Reid (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Valda Brightaxe

R3

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Blaze, Firemind

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs James Goode-Hamy (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 52:48

Briar

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs anthony blakeman (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

Blaze, Firemind

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Draw vs Emlyn Ingram (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 52:48

Briar

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Elista Cyrek (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R5	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.57
R6	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Draw	✓	0.52	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.80

41st • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

Briar

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Elista Cyrek (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

Bravo, Flattering Showman

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alan Williams (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Lexi

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Josh Keys (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36

Fai

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas de Oliveira Pacheco (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

Enigma

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Anatoly Mukhin (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

Briar

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jay Malone (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

Blaze, Firemind

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Duncan Macbeth (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

Lexi

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kin Yen Lee (Lexi) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Briar

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ilya Pokusaev (Briar) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.