Valda Brightaxe at Sunday Showdown: Edinburgh 2026

Valda Brightaxe

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alex Neseyif-Deakin

28th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

4.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 18:82

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Stuart Clark (Briar) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

20:80

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Kristopher Ryan-Clout (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Wallace Pate (Briar) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Anatoly Mukhin (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Arnold Baars (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.76
R4	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	20%	Win	✗	0.82	1.41
R5	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.26
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Fernando García-casarrubios

dropped • 1-5-0

50%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

20:80

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Canning (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 18:82

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Alan Williams (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Ilya Pokusaev (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs James Goode-Hamy (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

David Leigh

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Dominic McKenzie (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Declan Patrick (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Arnold Baars (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Blaze, Firemind	20%	Win	✗	0.82	1.48
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.