FaB-Results

Azalea at Sunday Showdown: Edinburgh 2026

Azalea

Azalea

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Arnold Baars
31st • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
Briar
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs anthony blakeman (Briar) - Expected: 64:36
Enigma
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Anatoly Mukhin (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Oscilio
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Blaze, Firemind
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Valda Brightaxe
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs David Leigh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Oscilio
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs David Watt (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Valda Brightaxe
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Neseyif-Deakin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Dominic McKenzie
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Valda Brightaxe
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs David Leigh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Lexi
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Josh Keys (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Briar
!
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Rhys Francis (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.