Rhinar at Sunday Showdown: Edinburgh 2026 — FaB-Results

Rhinar

Rhinar

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

Oldhim

R1

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Briar

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Briar) - Expected: 17:83

Briar

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Valtteri Kurhela (Briar) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

Oscilio

R1

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Dromai

95:5

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Spencer Baker (Dromai) - Expected: 93:7, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	95%	Loss	✓	0.93	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.