Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jaime Luigi Gonzales (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Joel Guzman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rhenielle Dela Rosa (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Carlo Ople (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alec Xavier Que Esteves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gerald Dalan (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlo Ople (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Janbert Dela Cruz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Harvey Jade Jadena (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alec Xavier Que Esteves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
63rd • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elendil Gil-galad Cañete (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Loss vs Nemesio Michael Desales (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juan Carlo Hernandez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs John Paul Baltazar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Round 9: Loss vs Joseph Lopez (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 10: Loss vs Rainier Noel Andes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
72nd • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fil Joseph De La Paz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Richard Anthony "Kampai" Bustamante (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carlo Antioquia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Randrex Toledo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Donnie Ray Lawrence Medina (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs David hydn Macas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
62nd • 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Orlando Ampo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Zaballero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gerald Dalan (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rafael Uson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Genico Boy (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Earl Jerome Rocero (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Renz Mascardo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Yap (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lemuel Gildo Oblipias (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edric Ramos (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Salazar (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Gomos (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Victor Felix (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Miguel III Lim (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marlon Barriga (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ezequiel Fulgencio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elendil Gil-galad Cañete (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kent Aldwin Celino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Ormille Busmente (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Lopez (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Dale Sayson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Terdes (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucinio De Guzman (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marvin Domingo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.