Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rayvie Anthony Pecajas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harvey Jade Jadena (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Francisco (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oniel De Leon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Bono (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Leejan Balagtas (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Franco Antonio Regalado (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
22nd • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Vizconde (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rhenielle Dela Rosa (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathaniel Terdes (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tommy Ang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jeremy Medina (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
30th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clint Hennesy Porras Cagang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dan Emerson Palomares (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alfer Lance Coronel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
41st • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marvin Domingo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mort Castillo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Gomeri (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bryan Pocholo Miguel Illana (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Timothy Laraya (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lemuel Gildo Oblipias (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
42nd • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Harvey Jade Jadena (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Round 10: Loss vs Leejan Balagtas (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Loss |
61st • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs MARION DOMINIQUE MANUEL TOLENTINO (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Robert Cenita (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Franco Antonio Regalado (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Albert Miko Mariano (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jordan Charles Magsalin (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kevin Bono (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Richard Malcolm II Chuaunsu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Donnie Ray Lawrence Medina (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phillip Adrian Sarominez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lenard Santiago (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Yap (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Agupitan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Josiah Jr Gosingtian (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs MARION DOMINIQUE MANUEL TOLENTINO (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Drei Cortez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jose Robert Cenita (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Richard Malcolm II Chuaunsu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gerald Dalan (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David hydn Macas (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.