Vynnset, Iron Maiden
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 5-1-1
57%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Banac (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Bono (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Ralph Gomeri (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tommy Ang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Richard Malcolm II Chuaunsu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Regin Kevin Pilapil (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Draw |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
36th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Uson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Michael Zaballero (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jaime Luigi Gonzales (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Randrex Toledo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alfer Lance Coronel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Christian Francisco (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Juan Gabriel Venegas (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
71st • 3-3-1
29%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reynald Jay Payad (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Adrian Sarominez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Elendil Gil-galad Cañete (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Earl Edison Ang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lenard Santiago (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Round 9: Win vs Carlo Luis Santos (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Donnie Ray Lawrence Medina (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Draw |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
50th • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Ang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Regin Kevin Pilapil (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clint Hennesy Porras Cagang (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Jose Gomos (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marvin Domingo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Round 9: Win vs Jonas Antioquia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Carlo Antioquia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Janbert Dela Cruz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Alvin Mendoza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Loss vs Rayvie Anthony Pecajas (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Miguel Carlo Briones (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.