National Championship 2026 - Philippines - Puffin, Hightail (CC)

Puffin, Hightail

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Edric Ramos

15th • 6-1-0

43%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

5.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexander miguel SY (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lemuel Gildo Oblipias (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Yap (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Christian Francisco (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs James Emmanuel Daguinod (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Oniel De Leon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.62
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.38
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.89
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.70

Jonas Antioquia

59th • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Paolo Angel (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 83:17

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Renz Mascardo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Franco Antonio Regalado (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Kent Aldwin Celino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.08
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.30
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R8	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R10	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Carlo Luis Santos

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nathan Ormille Busmente (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Donovon Jose Panganiban (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tommy Ang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gerald Dalan (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Nathaniel Terdes (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.24
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.57
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.