National Championship 2026 - Philippines - Arakni, Huntsman (CC)

Arakni, Huntsman

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Harvey Jade Jadena

5th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.7

Diff

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Floyd Paul Fortaleza (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 89:11

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kim Manuel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joshua Myles Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Paolo rodrigo Pamintuan (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Joel Guzman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Trix Ferreras (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	90%	Win	✓	0.11	0.02
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.41
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.93
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R11	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Orlando Ampo

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Juan Carlo Hernandez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lenard Santiago (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.29

Rod Waje

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Karlee Santos (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.