Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
28th • 4-2-1
29%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
4.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Marlon Barriga (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Karlee Santos (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kent Aldwin Celino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Janbert Dela Cruz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Lemuel Gildo Oblipias (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kim Manuel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 16:84
Round 10: Win vs Joel Guzman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Draw |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 15% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 15% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.