Valda, Seismic Impact at National Championship 2026 - Philippines
Valda, Seismic Impact
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Medina (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Earl Edison Ang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rainier Noel Andes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 91:9
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Carlo Antioquia (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Victor Felix (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.