Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

10th 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chun sir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mortal Chu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs WAI KIT LO (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Dash I/O
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jackie wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
18th 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Liu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chan Lion (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs See Atlantis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs ka chun chan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Isaac Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
21st 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
Dash I/O
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wilson Cheung (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Fai, Rising Rebellion
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henry Lau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gordon Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jammy Cheng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
39th 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gordon Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wong Hennessy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Dash I/O
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kyle WKL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Oscilio, Forked Continuum
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Oscar S (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
Zyggy Starlight
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henry Fan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
Zyggy Starlight
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs leung hon chung (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jerry Au (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs yau tony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
dropped 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Louis Tsoi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lewis Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mountain Wong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
dropped 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.