Prism, Awakener of Sol
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.4
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philip Wong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Willy Chan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rocko Yan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Loss vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
5th • 7-1-0
75%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wilson Cheung (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs PH Chung (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Cho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jammy Cheng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pang Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 11: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
25th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs treeming Tsang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Chu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teddy Tai (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 86:14
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Henry Fan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 9: Loss vs ricky leung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 10: Win vs Louis Tsoi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
19th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Clong H (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 72:28
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ka chun chan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elvis Ho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rocko Yan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Law Wen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ashley Chiu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs YAT TUNG (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 86:14
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Louis Tsoi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Lo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Loss vs YAT TUNG (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Clement Cheng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 85% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs AZCEX DECADE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jerry Au (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Lo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.