National Championship 2026 - Hong Kong - Zyggy Starlight (CC) - FaB-Results

Zyggy Starlight

Zyggy Starlight

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

40th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.6

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs See Atlantis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zane Wong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs treeming Tsang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Zyggy Starlight

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs BILLY CHAN (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Mortal Chu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Dorinthea Ironsong

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.59
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43

leung hon chung

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Elvis Ho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs See Atlantis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Chi san Tse (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.26
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.35
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Chu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jammy Cheng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76

Zyggy Starlight

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Henry Fan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.52
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.