Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-1-0
70%
Meta
+4.3
Perf
5.5
Surp
7.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bentley Tse (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dennis Yip (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs Chan Lion (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ian Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 12: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ian Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
7.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
11th • 5-2-0
14%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs York kwok (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Willy Chan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wayne Tsui (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Round 4: Win vs Hui Ryan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alex Lo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Round 10: Win vs Jerry Au (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
23rd • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Terry Yuen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eddy C (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs BILLY CHAN (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wayne Tsui (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Cheuk Hin Jacky Ho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Round 10: Win vs Lee Ka Yu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
33rd • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oscar S (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ka chun chan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wayne Tsui (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gordon Chan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kyle WKL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs BILLY CHAN (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Jason Lam (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oscar S (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Law Wen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ashley Chiu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pang Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs AZCEX DECADE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs See Atlantis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-1
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs York kwok (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Hoi Yi Kwok (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shine Wong cm (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Lo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henry Lau (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.