Oscilio, Forked Continuum at National Championship 2026 - Hong Kong
Oscilio, Forked Continuum
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
44th • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Shum (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sylvère Clerempuy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pang Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Ng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Wilson Cheung (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.