National Championship 2026 - Hong Kong - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC) - FaB-Results

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

Prism, Awakener of Sol

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72

Puffin, Hightail

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Liu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wong Hennessy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.19

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.1

Diff

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chi san Tse (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs ricky leung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.