Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Calling: Jakarta 2026

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

12 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pei-Tung Liao

12th • 8-3-0

55%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

5.1

Surp

4.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chris Saw (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Sugianto (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pudding Tam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

85:15

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 86:14

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.05
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.24
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.47
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.10
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.92
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.85
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.85
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.04

Long Tran

15th • 8-3-0

45%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

5.1

Surp

4.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Avex Lim Lian Hui (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rafael Alva Shady (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 74:26

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dave Poetera (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Mark Tay (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Alfian Poon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Putra Ahmadani Pratikto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Derry Lijuwardi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs James Emmanuel Daguinod (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.10
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.08
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.46
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.48
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.97
R9	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.86
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.57

Derry Lijuwardi

34th • 6-5-0

64%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jason Chua (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sarah Cheng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gian Arnandi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs James Emmanuel Daguinod (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Rizky Aditya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Marco Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Long Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.09
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.08
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.38
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.26
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.62
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.71
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Edward Leonardo

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Willy Willy (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Andersen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs CK Lee (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ricky Lianto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs justin widjaja (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.12
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.50
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.74
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.90
R7	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Gordon Koh Koh

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Giang Hoang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.45
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.57
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Kazuya Murakami

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Charles Widjaja (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jason Octaviano Iteh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hakim Green (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Geri Satria (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.19
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.14
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Christian Wijaya

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Andreas Andreas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs William Budi Surya (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs martinus indra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Juwonardo Budijanto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.38
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.14
R7	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Hans Kristian

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Putra Ahmadani Pratikto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jan-Noel David (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alfred Lauw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Anthony Agis (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jordan Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daryl Choo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.53
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.98

Zong Sheng Tan

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Isuardi Therianto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Josephine Boentoro (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alfahsya Sean Daffa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.45
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Mikko Pena

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zul Kifli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.27
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.42
R3	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jason Octaviano Iteh

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zul Kifli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs martinus indra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Romanos Defiano (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Amirruddin Sheik

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Justian Frederick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alfahsya Sean Daffa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Robby Ramasaputra (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.