Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Jakarta 2026

Fai, Rising Rebellion

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Theo Tom

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sarah David (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nhu y Tran thi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zul Kifli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Putra Ahmadani Pratikto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.47
R4	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Mohd Imran Jamil

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Harvey Jade Jadena (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christian Wijaya (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Edwin Liew (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hieu Tran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Ryan Poon

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Anditya Tornando (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Putra Ahmadani Pratikto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.