Prism, Awakener of Sol
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 72:28
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marco Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Willy Willy (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Draw |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hakim Green (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Derry (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amirruddin Sheik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Worranun Suklim (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Loss vs Muhamad Agus Suriyanto (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sarah Cheng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Sugianto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Round 7: Win vs Warren Nicholas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Willy Felim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ode Suputra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Azim Fitri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Megumi Hori (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Charles Widjaja (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Fikri Arrahman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Nevin Aysar Madian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs agung wijayanto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ade Fahri Syany (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Octaviano Iteh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anditya Tornando (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.