Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Edwin Liew (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naphattarapong Sirithawat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenneth Nathan Wijaya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matteo Layl Madian (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christian Andersen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Khai Yung Cheah (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 10: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
31st • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Sugianto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wisnu Arbani Mochdie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sarah Cheng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justian Frederick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rizky Aditya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Justin Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Zul Kifli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Naphattarapong Sirithawat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Justin Kemmerer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Chua (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rizky Aditya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rafael Alva Shady (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
14%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ting Hee Yeoh (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Oktavius Ivoni (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Lim (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anditya Tornando (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Agis (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Draw |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Sarah David (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edwin Liew (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Chua (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ting Hee Yeoh (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-1
71%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Q (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fikri Arrahman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Loss vs David Soetrisno (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Matthew Sugianto (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chua Swee Chuan (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dipa Wibisana (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Draw |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Andreas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Tay (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wisnu Arbani Mochdie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
Round 6: Loss vs David Soetrisno (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ramadhany Candra Arif Putra (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aditya Saptraka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Robby Ramasaputra (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.