Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

16th 7-4-0
55%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Edwin Liew (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naphattarapong Sirithawat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenneth Nathan Wijaya (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matteo Layl Madian (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Katsu, the Wanderer
!
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christian Andersen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Arakni, Huntsman
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Khai Yung Cheah (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
31st 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Sugianto (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wisnu Arbani Mochdie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sarah Cheng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justian Frederick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rizky Aditya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Dorinthea Ironsong
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Theodore Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 26:74
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Justin Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Zul Kifli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Dash I/O
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Naphattarapong Sirithawat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
dropped 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Kemmerer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Yau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Chua (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rizky Aditya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Rafael Alva Shady (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30
dropped 3-3-1
14%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
!!
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ting Hee Yeoh (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Kassai of the Golden Sand
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Oktavius Ivoni (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Lim (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anditya Tornando (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!!
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Agis (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 28:72
dropped 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sarah David (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 28:72
Prism, Awakener of Sol
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edwin Liew (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
Katsu, the Wanderer
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
!!
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Chua (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ting Hee Yeoh (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30
dropped 1-5-1
71%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Q (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30
Fang, Dracai of Blades
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fikri Arrahman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 28:72
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Soetrisno (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Matthew Sugianto (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chua Swee Chuan (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Fang, Dracai of Blades
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dipa Wibisana (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 28:72
dropped 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andreas Andreas (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Jarl Vetreiði
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Tay (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wisnu Arbani Mochdie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Soetrisno (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ramadhany Candra Arif Putra (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 36:64
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aditya Saptraka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 36:64
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robby Ramasaputra (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.