Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 1-4-1
17%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!!
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Melvin Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Hoi Jun Koh (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Lim (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 20:80
dropped 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
Dash I/O
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
Arakni, Marionette
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gede Mahar Ditriwan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edward Leonardo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.