Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Calling: Jakarta 2026

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christopher Satriandaru

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.5

Diff

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nevin Aysar Madian (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Valda, Seismic Impact

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs justin widjaja (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 58:42

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Soetrisno (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ramadhany Candra Arif Putra (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ting Hee Yeoh (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Katsu, the Wanderer

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Pudding Tam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Odi Winata (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.18
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gilbert Timothy (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67

Valda, Seismic Impact

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Giang Hoang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 58:42

Katsu, the Wanderer

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adi Guna Sodikin (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Dash I/O

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Arif Ardiningrum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65

Valda, Seismic Impact

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Edwin Sitanto (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 58:42

Dash I/O

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.79
R5	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.67
R7	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Ramadhany Candra Arif Putra

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evandra Tamzil (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Kassai of the Golden Sand

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Satriandaru (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Dash I/O

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Putra Ahmadani Pratikto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65

Dash I/O

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Dave Poetera (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.45
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matteo Layl Madian (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Gondowijoyo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs martinus indra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs William Budi Surya (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Sugianto (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Aditya Saptraka

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.3

Diff

Dash I/O

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Evandra Tamzil (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

Valda, Seismic Impact

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Edwin Sitanto (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 58:42

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Juwonardo Budijanto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.32
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.