Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

29th 7-4-0
55%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.8
Diff
Dash I/O
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nugroho Haryoputro (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Leonardo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Reeve Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mai Dao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, Huntsman
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Khai Yung Cheah (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Valda, Seismic Impact
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs justin widjaja (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
Dorinthea Ironsong
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Theodore Andrew (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Carl Rivera (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
dropped 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nabil Nur Aiman Bin Jasman (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daryl Choo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
!
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Satriandaru (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
dropped 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryo Kawasaki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benedictus See (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ivan Marli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Zhang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Agis (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
dropped 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mai Dao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nhu y Tran thi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Imran Ariff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daryl Choo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
dropped 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chard Tan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hieu Tran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Valda, Seismic Impact
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Megumi Hori (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
Arakni, Huntsman
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Margo Burhanudin (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matt Q (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
dropped 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justian Frederick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Willy Willy (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ardian Okki Nursalim (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charles Widjaja (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs William Budi Surya (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wisnu Arbani Mochdie (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.