Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30th • 7-4-0
18%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
5.6
Surp
7.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marco Ng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randy Stephen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 15:85
Round 3: Win vs Evandra Tamzil (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Amirruddin Sheik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Melvin Tan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Rhasta Chuah (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rizky Aditya (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 21:79
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
Round 11: Win vs Putra Ahmadani Pratikto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
Meta Fit
18% (2/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
7.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 20% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 15% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.