Calling: Shanghai 2026 - Valda Brightaxe (SAGE)

Valda Brightaxe

27 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Enki Dupaquier

2nd • 11-4-0

73%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

6.9

Surp

4.9

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs ZHAOWEN ZHANG (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs logan boyd (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs 郭傲 (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Bangliang Liu (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs YuDi Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

R13

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R15 SAGE

Round 15: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

73% (11/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

6.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.05
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.21
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.26
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.16
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.56
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.25
R10	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.71
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.88
R12	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R13	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.87
R14	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.91
R15	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Brodie Spurlock

13th • 9-3-0

50%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

4.6

Surp

5.1

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bridge Big (Dash) - Expected: 84:16

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs 魏文彬 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Nova Chan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.02
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.07
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.10
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R5	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R6	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.92
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.10
R12	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.06

Justin Cu

15th • 9-3-0

67%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

4.7

Surp

4.4

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs 宇田龚 (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs JIA NIAN WANG (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Wen Jun Zheng (Fai) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Collett (Fai) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Fai) - Expected: 61:39

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Weiqi Zhou (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.07
R3	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R5	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.30
R6	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jude Cornett

16th • 9-3-0

42%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs shuyang zhao (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Isaac Lee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Nova Chan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

25:75

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 23:77

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

75:25

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

42% (5/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.58
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.27
R9	Silver Age	Enigma	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.27
R12	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.41

Nicholas Tran

18th • 8-4-0

50%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

5.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Kano) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs batian zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

15:85

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

45:55

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Win	✗	0.87	0.48
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.14
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.20
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Kieran Carnegie

20th • 8-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Avex Lim Lian Hui (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs U norphy (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Hayden Dale (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs William Bucknall (Dash) - Expected: 84:16

75:25

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs HAN LIN YEH (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

75:25

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.17
R6	Silver Age	Dash	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.12
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.24
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.27
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.37
R12	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kaiser Wong

25th • 8-4-0

67%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs HAN LIN YEH (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Darren Taing (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Timothy Lee (Vynnset) - Expected: 81:19

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs bill huynh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tianyu Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Law Wen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.10
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.10
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.20
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.20

Nova Chan

30th • 8-4-0

75%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

6.6

Surp

4.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs kaiyue cai ()

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tang Li (Fai) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs bill huynh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs batian zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs PANG CHEN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.10
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.20

Martin Holík

31st • 8-4-0

50%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs jiasu chen (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Gongyin Mao (Kano) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset) - Expected: 81:19

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Xinyu Gu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs suk kyo suh (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Isaac Lee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Win	✗	0.87	0.48
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.07
R4	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.57
R8	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.48
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.10
R12	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.38

Francesco Giorgio

32nd • 8-4-0

42%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Louis Jia (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sihong Chen (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Zhipeng Sun (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Qiu Wenyang (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jinghao Shi (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs John Wang (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs batian zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Fai) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

85:15

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Alfian Poon (Dash) - Expected: 84:16

Meta Fit

42% (5/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.07
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.44
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.20
R7	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.10
R12	Silver Age	Dash	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.25

Jacob Trossing

33rd • 8-4-0

92%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs 渣斯基 (Fai) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Weimu Song (Dash) - Expected: 84:16

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Hovin Wong (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Sihong Chen (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Alessandro Miraldi (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 23:77

85:15

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs yaqiong Ju (Dash) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Jinghao Shi (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Silver Age	Dash	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.06
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.14
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	Silver Age	Enigma	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R9	Silver Age	Dash	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.19
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.41

Tim Sofsky

51st • 6-6-0

58%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

5.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Li GongXu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Yongliang Ding (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Rocko Yan (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jiaang Shi (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Darren Taing (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Nova Chan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs ye zhao (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.10
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.40
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.81
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.31
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Evanking Chiu

dropped • 6-5-0

36%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

5.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Yongliang Ding (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs 老抽王 (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Law Wen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Yiyang Xie (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

15:85

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

36% (4/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.45
R6	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.87
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

Arthur Trehet

dropped • 4-3-1

25%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs James Lewis (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Wentao Huang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Qiu Wenyang (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 23:77

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Draw vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.75
R6	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-

Alessandro Miraldi

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Moran Zhuang (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs 魏文彬 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs hc c (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tang Wei (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Lee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Zhengjia Liu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chunan Xiong

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs zhichen zhong (Dash) - Expected: 84:16

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Xiao Xiao (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs John Wang (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Xingbin Luo (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.07
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.52
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.86
R6	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.38

Zhengjia Liu

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alfian Poon (Dash) - Expected: 84:16

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs David Yau (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Henry Lau (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs 宇田龚 (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alessandro Miraldi (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Wen Jun Zheng (Fai) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.29
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.72

Zihan Xu

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs 大昕刘 (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Fish Do (Fai) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Yang Haoyu (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Catch Rainbow (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.31
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.41

bill huynh

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Dan Hartley (Dash) - Expected: 84:16

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nova Chan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Avinash Vellavan (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs hongrui yin (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.23
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.35
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

David Yau

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Catch Rainbow (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Zhengjia Liu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs 老抽王 (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Siming Hao (Vynnset) - Expected: 81:19

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 23:77

20:80

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Xiangjun Dai (Dorinthea) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.79
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.21
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Xinyu Gu

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: 23:77

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mingyu Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Some Body (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jiaang Shi (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Martin Holík (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Timothy Lee (Vynnset) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.69
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-

Yu fan Liao

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs cheng liu (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 44:56

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Yiyuan Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs yinfei li (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Nova Chan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs PANG CHEN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	25%	Win	✗	0.77	0.72
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

YINLI GU

dropped • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Zhipeng Sun (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tang Wei (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Zhengyuan Duan (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Zhi Qiao (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs 羽丰韩 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Some Body (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.00
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Joel Guzman

dropped • 2-2-1

40%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michelle Wang (Dash) - Expected: 84:16

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Draw vs Du Xuhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Wentao Huang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs HAODONG SUN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs William Bucknall (Dash) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Draw	✗	0.43	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.96
R5	Silver Age	Dash	85%	Loss	✓	0.84	-

Connor Leverton

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs hc c (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs shao qi Chen (Fai) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

RICARDO DIAZ

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Youcheng Kong (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Rocko Yan (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Xiao (Kayo) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs James Lewis (Florian) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Jacob Clements

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.1

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Qiu Wenyang (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Viktor Nelipovich (Vynnset) - Expected: 81:19

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Gongyin Mao (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.