Riptide at Calling: Shanghai 2026

Riptide

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

zijun Guo

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jiahui Wu (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs PANG CHEN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs ye zhao (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

0:100

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs yang yang (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.26
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

忠泽蔡

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs QIN WEN HU (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33

10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs John Wang (Kano) - Expected: 8:92

0:100

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Florian) - Expected: 0:100

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs yang yang (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jun Yan Cai (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Zeng sizhe (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33

0:100

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs James Lewis (Florian) - Expected: 0:100

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.42
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Florian	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-

Tom Hartley

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs 炜祯缪 (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Fai) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tianyu Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

10:90

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs dean zhong (Kano) - Expected: 8:92

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Hongda Li (Fai) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Youcheng Kong

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Liu (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs weizhe zheng (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Hao Miao (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs huang junhao (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.35
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.