Calling: Shanghai 2026 - Oldhim (SAGE)

Oldhim

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sam Sutherland

12th • 9-3-0

83%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs TZU HENG LIN (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs YIZHENG CHEN (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Sihong Chen (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

70:30

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

15:85

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

70:30

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Evan Herndon (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.13
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.26
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.41
R8	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.39
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R11	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R12	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.52

Thomas Bailey Galbraith

24th • 8-4-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

6.3

Surp

3.9

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Zihan Xu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Law Wen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

10:90

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs ziye zhang (Dorinthea) - Expected: 11:89, underdog victory

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Lin Yancheng (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

95:5

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Hongbo Zhao (Dash) - Expected: 94:6

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

70:30

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Jinghao Shi (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Martin Holík (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Win	✗	0.83	0.43
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	10%	Win	✗	0.89	1.07
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.26
R7	Silver Age	Dash	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.06
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.39
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R11	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.01
R12	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Gen Shinohara

29th • 8-4-0

92%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

5.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs 喆李 (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

95:5

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs jiayang you (Dash) - Expected: 94:6

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs hongrui yin (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Keegan Walls (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Weiqi Zhou (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

95:5

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs yaqiong Ju (Dash) - Expected: 94:6

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Dash	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.02
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.13
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.30
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.45
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.50
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R12	Silver Age	Dash	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.10

Jimmy Nguyen

35th • 7-5-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs U norphy (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Chun Kin Tse (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Lin Yancheng (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs 郭傲 (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs wei shen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs logan boyd (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

15:85

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Tianyu Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

60:40

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Martin Holík (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.22
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.30
R7	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.74
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.45
R10	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R12	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Darren Taing

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs 郭傲 (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Dennis Xiao (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs SS LIU (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yang Haoyu (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

95:5

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs yaqiong Ju (Dash) - Expected: 94:6, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.20
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.33
R6	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	Silver Age	Dash	95%	Loss	✓	0.94	-

Henry Lau

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Zijin Yan ()

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs ye zhao (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

80:20

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Judge John (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Zhengjia Liu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs PANG CHEN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.12
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.45
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Jack Tang

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jinghao Shi (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Zhengjia Liu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Louis Jia (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

100:0

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs zijun Guo (Riptide) - Expected: 100:0

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.43
R6	Silver Age	Riptide	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Keegan Walls

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs han mao ()

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs James Lewis (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Zeng sizhe (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Avex Lim Lian Hui (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.30
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.37
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.45
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yiyang Xie

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.6

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs YIKAI WANG (Dorinthea) - Expected: 11:89

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Xingbin Luo (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Xin Yu (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

95:5

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Andy Pham (Dash) - Expected: 94:6

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs shifu wen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.16
R5	Silver Age	Dash	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.07
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.90
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

超陆

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs cheng liu (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 48:52

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs 郭傲 (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Siming Hao (Vynnset) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Xin Yu (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs 宇田龚 (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Terra	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.20
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.45
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60

Chun Kin Tse

dropped • 3-2-2

43%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.2

Diff

10:90

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Draw vs huang junhao (Dorinthea) - Expected: 11:89

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jianan Zhou (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs zhang opq (Kano) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Fish Do (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Draw vs Hongda Li (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	10%	Draw	✗	0.11	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Win	✗	0.87	2.06
R6	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.95
R7	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Draw	✗	0.47	-

Xingbin Luo

dropped • 3-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Draw vs Matilda Soon (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs HAN LIN YEH (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Yiyang Xie (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

95:5

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Dan Hartley (Dash) - Expected: 94:6

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Viktor Nelipovich (Vynnset) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Zhi Qiao (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Chunan Xiong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Draw	✓	0.70	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.05
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.90
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Guillem Las Heras

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs xingyu Liu (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs liang xuanhe (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 48:52

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs John Wang (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Weiqi Zhou (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs 可暄赵 (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R2	Silver Age	Terra	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R4	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R6	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

Glenn Rosario II

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs yin yue (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs bill huynh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

0:100

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: 2:98

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Moran Zhuang (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	0%	Loss	✗	0.02	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

HAN Xintong

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tianyu Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Yang-Chia Chang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Yang Haoyu (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs shao qi Chen (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.30
R3	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

老抽王

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.1

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

10:90

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs ziye zhang (Dorinthea) - Expected: 11:89

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs David Yau (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.