Calling: Shanghai 2026 - Kano (SAGE)

Kano

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Steven Young

3rd • 11-3-0

50%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

5.6

Surp

4.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Zeng sizhe (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs John Wang (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

90:10

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 88:12

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

85:15

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

65:35

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 67:33

40:60

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs YuDi Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

50% (7/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (8.0 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.21
R4	Silver Age	Florian	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.05
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.09
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.10
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.91
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.16
R12	Silver Age	Terra	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R13	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.31
R14	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Joniel Ibasco

11th • 9-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Chunan Xiong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Samual Nightingale (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Kin Bong Ernie Wong (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

85:15

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

85:15

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Tianyu Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.02
R2	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.49
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.10
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.12
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.14
R9	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.17
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.41

Lancelot Errico

40th • 7-5-0

42%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Aiden Taylor (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Edward Kim (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Y u Tang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Martin Holík (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Law Wen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs logan boyd (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

85:15

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

45:55

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

42% (5/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.20
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.07
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.09
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.10
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.19
R12	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

John Wang

50th • 6-6-0

58%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs James Shan (Azalea) - Expected: 69:31

90:10

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs 忠泽蔡 (Riptide) - Expected: 92:8

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Tianyu Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Chunan Xiong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

85:15

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs PANG CHEN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Dash) - Expected: 29:71

40:60

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs wei shen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (7.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	90%	Win	✓	0.08	0.02
R3	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.07
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.10
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.49
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.14
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	Silver Age	Dash	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Qiu Wenyang

55th • 6-6-0

42%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Clements (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

90:10

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Florian) - Expected: 88:12

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Li GongXu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Law Wen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs logan boyd (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Weiqi Zhou (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R12

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs None ()

Meta Fit

42% (5/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (6.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.02
R2	Silver Age	Florian	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.03
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.07
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.10
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R9	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R12	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

可暄赵

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs jiayang you (Dash) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Aiden Taylor (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs SS LIU (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tang Li (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

90:10

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: 88:12

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.81
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.18
R7	Silver Age	Florian	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.18

Gongyin Mao

dropped • 2-5-0

29%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Avinash Vellavan (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Martin Holík (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Clements (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Lin Yancheng (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Du Xuhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Some Body (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Loss	✓	0.87	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.09
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

dean zhong

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Cheng Zhang (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tong Liu (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Danil Biriukov-Romanov (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

90:10

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tom Hartley (Riptide) - Expected: 92:8

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs 沈海江 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs YIKAI WANG (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Riptide	90%	Win	✓	0.08	0.08
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

zhang opq

dropped • 1-5-0

50%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Xiangjun Dai (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Bolong Sun (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs James Shan (Azalea) - Expected: 69:31

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Cheng Peng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Chun Kin Tse (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Dan Hartley (Dash) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Loss	✓	0.87	-
R6	Silver Age	Dash	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Tom Chen

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tai Xiaoyao ()

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs wei shen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Cheng Zhang (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs yin yue (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Yuanji Li

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jiabin Chen (Dromai) - Expected: 62:38

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs 嘉诚徐 (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs William Bucknall (Dash) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R3	Silver Age	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.1

Diff

90:10

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Florian) - Expected: 88:12

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jiaang Shi (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Loss	✓	0.87	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Danil Biriukov-Romanov

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs liang xuanhe (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Some Body (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs dean zhong (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.