Calling: Shanghai 2026 - Briar (SAGE)

Briar

12 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christopher Iaali

1st • 13-2-0

73%

Meta

+4.9

Perf

6.7

Surp

6.3

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Xiao Xiao (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs William Bucknall (Dash) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Connor Leverton (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Martin Holík (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs ye zhao (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Yang Haoyu (Florian) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Kano) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Win vs Evan Herndon (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R14 SAGE

Round 14: Win vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R15 SAGE

Round 15: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

73% (11/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.9 Wins (8.1 expected, 13 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Dash	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.06
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.19
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.34
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.38
R8	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.57
R9	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.65
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.50
R11	Silver Age	Terra	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.60
R13	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R14	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.01
R15	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Bangliang Liu

14th • 9-3-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

5.3

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Xin Yu (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Siming Hao (Vynnset) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs ye zhao (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Andy Pham (Dash) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jinghao Shi (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Wen Jun Zheng (Fai) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs PANG CHEN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Law Wen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (12/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.14
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.32
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.51
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.57
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.64
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.68
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Enes Findik

22nd • 8-4-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

5.5

Surp

3.2

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Yingming Zhao (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Florian) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs James Lewis (Florian) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs bill huynh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Alfian Poon (Dash) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs logan boyd (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (12/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.55
R8	Silver Age	Dash	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.29
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.79
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.68
R12	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Judge John

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs XIAO LU (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Henry Lau (Oldhim) - Expected: 18:82

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Weimu Song (Dash) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Wei-Te Fang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Fai) - Expected: 65:35

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs 沈海江 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.25
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.53
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Tang Wei

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs 羽丰韩 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs YINLI GU (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Siming Hao (Vynnset) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alessandro Miraldi (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs shifu wen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs huang junhao (Dorinthea) - Expected: 49:51

75:25

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Dan Hartley (Dash) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Dash	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.43

shuyang zhao

dropped • 1-6-0

86%

Meta

-3.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Florian) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Matilda Soon (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Viktor Nelipovich (Vynnset) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs jiayang you (Dash) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alex Gu (Levia) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs cheng liu (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	Silver Age	Dash	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R6	Silver Age	Levia	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

li shuo

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs ziye zhang (Dorinthea) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Hongda Li (Fai) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Yiyuan Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Lee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Yang Haoyu (Florian) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Siming Hao (Vynnset) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Jiaang Shi

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Xinchun Wang (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Kano) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Xinyu Gu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.34
R3	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.65
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Xin Yu

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bangliang Liu (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Yang-Chia Chang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

20:80

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Yiyang Xie (Oldhim) - Expected: 18:82

20:80

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs 超陆 (Oldhim) - Expected: 18:82

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.45
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-

XIAO LU

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Judge John (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Zhengyuan Duan

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Lee (Vynnset) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs YINLI GU (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Haotian Dong

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tang Li (Fai) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.