Calling: Shanghai 2026 - Ira, Crimson Haze (SAGE)

Ira, Crimson Haze

47 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Yoshiaki Okamoto

5th • 10-3-0

85%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

6.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Daixin Zhuang (Azalea) - Expected: 76:24

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Darren Taing (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Law Wen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs YuDi Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.48
R5	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.44
R8	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.69
R10	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.26
R11	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R13	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

YuDi Chen

5th • 9-4-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Bültel (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Bolong Sun (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Alfian Poon (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Evan Herndon (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (13/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.04
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.23
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.31
R5	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.32
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.38
R7	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.37
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R9	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.47
R10	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Gordon Koh Koh

9th • 9-3-0

92%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

5.4

Surp

4.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs shifu wen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Xiangjun Dai (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

80:20

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs batian zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Edward Kim (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs wei shen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs PANG CHEN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.11
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.57
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.62
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Pudding Tam

10th • 9-3-0

92%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

5.6

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Law Wen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.11
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.21
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.34
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R10	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Law Wen

19th • 8-4-0

83%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Hongbo Zhao (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs AK C (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Qiu Wenyang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Bangliang Liu (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.39
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R5	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.40
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.69
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Tianyu Li

23rd • 8-4-0

75%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

6.4

Surp

4.4

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs HAN Xintong (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs batian zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tom Hartley (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs John Wang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs wei shen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs 郭傲 (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

60:40

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R5	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.82
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.43
R12	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

logan boyd

26th • 8-4-0

75%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tuna Fatty ()

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Cheng Zhang (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Edward Kim (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs PANG CHEN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Qiu Wenyang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Isaac Lee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.33
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.64
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.45
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.57
R11	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Teck Yeow Wong

36th • 7-5-0

83%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

6.3

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Zhengyuan Duan (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs pun yuicheung (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Weiqi Zhou (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Li GongXu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Isaac Lee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Martin Holík (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.04
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.62
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R12	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

PANG CHEN

37th • 7-5-0

75%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

5.8

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bob Yang (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs 羽丰韩 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs zijun Guo (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Y u Tang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs logan boyd (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Henry Lau (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs batian zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs John Wang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Bangliang Liu (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Nova Chan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.91
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.51
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R12	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Liang Zhaoyuan

39th • 7-5-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lin Yancheng (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs 可暄赵 (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Hovin Wong (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Oh Oh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Isaac Lee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (12/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R5	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.35
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.74
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Benjamin Westmore

44th • 7-5-0

83%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.9

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Timothy Lee (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs batian zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Qiu Wenyang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs ye zhao (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.40
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R12	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99

沈海江

46th • 7-5-0

83%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.4

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Wei-Te Fang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Du Xuhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs dean zhong (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Samual Nightingale (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Judge John (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs 郭傲 (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Alfian Poon (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Jinghao Shi (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Weiqi Zhou (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.76
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong

47th • 7-5-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

6.1

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Kieran Carnegie (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs wei shen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Li GongXu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs ye zhao (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs yaqiong Ju (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (12/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.82
R11	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R12	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

wei shen

48th • 7-5-0

92%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

5.4

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs jincheng zhang (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tom Chen (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Zhipeng Sun (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs suk kyo suh (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs pun yuicheung (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Tianyu Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Jinghao Shi (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

R11

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs None ()

60:40

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs John Wang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.11
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.35
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.38
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Isaac Lee

49th • 6-6-0

92%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

5.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jiabin Chen (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Bob Yang (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs li shuo (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Alessandro Miraldi (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs ye zhao (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jinghao Shi (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Martin Holík (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs logan boyd (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.02
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.34
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.57
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.66
R9	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

batian zhang

52nd • 6-6-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

6.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Yang-Chia Chang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tianyu Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kin Bong Ernie Wong (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Oh Oh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs PANG CHEN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs ye zhao (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Nova Chan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs 郭傲 (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (12/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (6.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.82
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R12	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Weiqi Zhou

53rd • 6-6-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

5.9

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Oh Oh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Zhi Qiao (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs U norphy (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs shao qi Chen (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs jincheng zhang (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Qiu Wenyang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs 沈海江 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.65
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.57
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R11	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.63
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Oh Oh

dropped • 4-3-1

88%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Weiqi Zhou (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs 嘉诚徐 (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs yaqiong Ju (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs batian zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Collett (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Draw vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.46
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Draw	✗	0.41	-

Du Xuhang

dropped • 4-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs zhichen zhong (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Draw vs Joel Guzman (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs YIKAI WANG (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs 沈海江 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Bolong Sun (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Gongyin Mao (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs yinfei li (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Draw	✓	0.57	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74

Some Body

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Danil Biriukov-Romanov (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Xinyu Gu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Justin Cao (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs YINLI GU (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Gongyin Mao (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.19
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.70
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Wentao Huang

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs XIAO LUO (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Joel Guzman (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs chen han (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Edward Kim (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99

shoma yamamura

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs XIAO LU (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Chunan Xiong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs YIKAI WANG (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Samual Nightingale (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Zihan Xu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.37
R5	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.70
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99

岡西達也

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs 沈海江 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs AK C (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Timothy Lee (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Nova Chan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.09
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

魏文彬

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Chris Bewley (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alessandro Miraldi (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs yinfei li (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Aiden Taylor (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dennis Xiao (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Li GongXu

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Qiu Wenyang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.42
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Roman Pinegin

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs 老抽王 (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs zhang chu (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Some Body (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs AK C (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs HAN LIN YEH (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs 超陆 (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.19
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

CYK Lionel

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tom Chen (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs liang xuanhe (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.11
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.45
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.72
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Pei-Tung Liao

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs weizhe zheng (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Cheng Peng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Connor Leverton (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs yaqiong Ju (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.55
R5	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Cheng Peng

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Bolong Sun (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs zhang opq (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Teoh Juwern (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Shan Huang (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.45
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Louis Jia

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs jiasu chen (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sihong Chen (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Justin Cao (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Xingyu ZHOU (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.66
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Xiao Xiao

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jiahui Wu (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Bolong Sun (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Chunan Xiong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.66
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Zhipeng Sun

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs YINLI GU (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Fish Do (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs wei shen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Tong Liu (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs yin yue (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Colin Li

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Edward Kim (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs yin yue (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Hovin Wong (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs huang weiyi (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Cheng Zhang (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Wei-Te Fang

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Hao Miao (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs 沈海江 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ethan Lau (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tang Li (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Judge John (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Yu Wang

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs chen han (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs James Tung (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Hayden Dale (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jinghao Shi (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs pun yuicheung (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.59
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Chris Bewley

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs 魏文彬 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs 郭傲 (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Zihao Zhang (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Daixin Zhuang (Azalea) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs xingyu Liu (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.59
R4	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

羽丰韩

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.3

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tang Wei (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs PANG CHEN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Avex Lim Lian Hui (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Xiangjun Dai (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs YINLI GU (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.26
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Y u Tang

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Hao Ru Wu (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dan Hartley (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs PANG CHEN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R3	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

HAODONG SUN

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Shan Huang (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

U norphy

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs shao qi Chen (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Weiqi Zhou (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Yongliang Ding

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs shifu wen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

YuChen Liu

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs hc c (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Viktor Nelipovich (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Hongda Li (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Ethan Lau

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Teoh Juwern (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Avex Lim Lian Hui (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Wei-Te Fang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yang-Chia Chang

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs batian zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs HAN Xintong (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Xin Yu (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Bernardo José Alves

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Shiyang Shen

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andy Pham (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

ZHAOWEN ZHANG

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.