Calling: Shanghai 2026 - Kayo (SAGE)

Kayo

62 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Evan Herndon

5th • 9-4-0

46%

Meta

+3.7

Perf

6.7

Surp

4.8

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Yiyang Xie (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs James Lewis (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Nova Chan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 23:77

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Law Wen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

45:55

R13 SAGE

Round 13: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

46% (6/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.16
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.22
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.53
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.78
R6	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.54
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.81
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.78
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.86
R12	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R13	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Michael Jaszczur

17th • 9-3-0

67%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

5.8

Surp

5.1

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Judge John (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Hao Miao (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Chunan Xiong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs yinfei li (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Bangliang Liu (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs John Wang (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

75:25

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

30:70

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.09
R3	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.24
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.70
R11	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.34
R12	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.72

Peter Buddensiek

21st • 8-4-0

58%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.4

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs jiajun ma (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Hongbo Zhao (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Gongyin Mao (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Henry Lau (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tianyu Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Bangliang Liu (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs 沈海江 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.72
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.55
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.68
R9	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.85
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.93
R12	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Michael Feng

27th • 8-4-0

50%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

5.4

Surp

4.8

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs David Yau (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Samual Nightingale (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs hongrui yin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Sihong Chen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

25:75

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Nova Chan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

25:75

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

55:45

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.59
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.68
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R12	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Jinghao Shi

42nd • 7-5-0

58%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

5.1

Surp

3.6

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alex Gu (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Yu Wang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Bangliang Liu (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Isaac Lee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs wei shen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs 沈海江 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.49
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.55
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.85
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.93
R12	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

郭傲

45th • 7-5-0

67%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.7

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Darren Taing (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Chris Bewley (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs 超陆 (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs 嘉诚徐 (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Timothy Teo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs 沈海江 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Tianyu Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Win vs batian zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.68
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

ye zhao

54th • 6-6-0

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

5.8

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Shan Huang (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Henry Lau (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Bangliang Liu (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 23:77

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs zijun Guo (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Lee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs batian zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 SAGE

Round 12: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.29
R4	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R5	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.66
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.68
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Pedro Ugioni

dropped • 5-6-0

45%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

5.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs shifu wen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Weimu Song (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Andy Pham (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs zijun Guo (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 23:77

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs SS LIU (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs ye zhao (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.24
R3	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.36
R4	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.58
R5	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alan Teixeira

dropped • 5-5-0

60%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs CYK Lionel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kin Bong Ernie Wong (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs HAODONG SUN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs James Tung (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Timothy Teo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs yaqiong Ju (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

60% (6/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.21
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R10	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Sihong Chen

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Bültel (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Louis Jia (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs shaopeng pu (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.26
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

yang yang

dropped • 4-2-1

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs shaopeng pu (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs 炜祯缪 (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Draw vs Catch Rainbow (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs 忠泽蔡 (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs TZU HENG LIN (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs zijun Guo (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.91
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.58

Edward Kim

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Colin Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Hao Miao (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs logan boyd (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Wentao Huang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.24
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

HAN LIN YEH

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Xingbin Luo (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Daixin Zhuang (Azalea) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Roman Pinegin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.49
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.27
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

SS LIU

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs James Tung (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs xingyu Liu (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs 可暄赵 (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Darren Taing (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Cheng Zhang (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R6	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Teoh Juwern

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ethan Lau (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs zijun Guo (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Yiyuan Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Cheng Peng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs 郭傲 (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.21
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.73
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.80
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

jincheng zhang

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs wei shen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Hongda Li (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs hc c (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Xingyu ZHOU (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kin Bong Ernie Wong (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Weiqi Zhou (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.29
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.67
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Avex Lim Lian Hui

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ethan Lau (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs 羽丰韩 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs 嘉诚徐 (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs shifu wen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Silver Age	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dennis Xiao

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Gan Yan ()

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alex Gu (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Darren Taing (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs 魏文彬 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs huang junhao (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.15
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Hayden Dale

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs YuDi Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Yu Wang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Alex Gu (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Bridge Big (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

Moran Zhuang

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alessandro Miraldi (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Zihao Zhang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Zhi Qiao (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs pun yuicheung (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Samual Nightingale (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.98
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.72
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Tariq Patel

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs HAODONG SUN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs HAN LIN YEH (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Shan Huang (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Avinash Vellavan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Henry Lau (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Wentao Huang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Tom Escoffier

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Zeng sizhe (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Chun Kin Tse (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Hovin Wong (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Xiao Xiao (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.98
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

yin yue

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Glenn Rosario II (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Colin Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs cheng liu (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs liang xuanhe (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tom Chen (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Zhipeng Sun (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Shan Huang (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R7	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Catch Rainbow

dropped • 2-4-1

71%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs yinfei li (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Draw vs yang yang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs jiasu chen (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs cheng liu (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Zihao Zhang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Zihan Xu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.72
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

AK C

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs TZU HENG LIN (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Law Wen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Roman Pinegin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Xiangjun Dai (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Gu (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

宇田龚

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.4

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs James Shan (Azalea) - Expected: 77:23

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tang Li (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Zhengjia Liu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs 超陆 (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

75:25

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Yiyuan Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.11
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.29
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-

Zihao Zhang

dropped • 1-6-0

86%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Moran Zhuang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Chris Bewley (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs xingyu Liu (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Dan Hartley (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Catch Rainbow (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs None ()

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Hovin Wong

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Elaine Cao (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Andy Pham (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Colin Li (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Jean Luka Zorko

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Xin Yu (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs AK C (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mingyu Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Edward Kim (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Bridge Big (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.39
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31

Kin Bong Ernie Wong

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs pun yuicheung (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs batian zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs jincheng zhang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.45
R5	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lin Yancheng

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs weizhe zheng (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Liang Zhaoyuan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Gongyin Mao (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.70
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Timothy Teo

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs YuChen Liu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs CYK Lionel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs 郭傲 (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.15
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tong Liu

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs William Bucknall (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs dean zhong (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs chen han (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Liu (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Zhipeng Sun (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.85
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

hongrui yin

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Zhi Qiao (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Cheng Zhang (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs bill huynh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Rocko Yan

dropped • 2-3-1

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Zehao Li (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Bridge Big (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Lee (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Draw vs xingyu Liu (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.87
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

TZU HENG LIN

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs AK C (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Gan Yan ()

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Fish Do (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs yang yang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.45
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zeng sizhe

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs 炜祯缪 (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Yiyuan Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs 忠泽蔡 (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Boltyn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.31
R6	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Jun Yan Cai

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs YIZHENG CHEN (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs XIAO LUO (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs pun yuicheung (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs 忠泽蔡 (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yiyuan Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-

Aiden Taylor

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs 可暄赵 (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs JIA NIAN WANG (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs 魏文彬 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Avinash Vellavan

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gongyin Mao (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Yingming Zhao (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs 渣斯基 (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs bill huynh (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.40
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jake mccormack

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Yuanji Li (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs YIZHENG CHEN (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

James Tung

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs SS LIU (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Yu Wang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Hongbo Zhao (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.41
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

YIZHENG CHEN

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jun Yan Cai (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs JIA NIAN WANG (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

chen han

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Yu Wang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs None ()

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tong Liu (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Wentao Huang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

shaopeng pu

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs yang yang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Xingyu ZHOU (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs huang weiyi (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sihong Chen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Wen Jun Zheng (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.40
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Bolong Sun

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Cheng Peng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs zhang opq (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Xiao Xiao (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Du Xuhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.34
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Justin Cao

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Viktor Nelipovich (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs yaqiong Ju (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Louis Jia (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Some Body (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.23
R2	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Eduardo Melo

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs YIKAI WANG (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs liang xuanhe (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Matteo Blasi (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.51
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Andy Liang

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Siming Hao (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs huang weiyi (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs xingyu Liu (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs shifu wen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.76
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cláudio de Salles Pupo Dias

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jinghao Shi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Aiden Taylor (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Yongliang Ding (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

JIA NIAN WANG

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs suk kyo suh (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs YIZHENG CHEN (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Aiden Taylor (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mingyu Feng

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Samual Nightingale (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Xinyu Gu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Bültel (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.18
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ryan Liu

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Fish Do (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Youcheng Kong (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tong Liu (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.79
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bob Yang

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs PANG CHEN (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs 喆李 (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Lee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.45
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Matilda Soon

dropped • 0-2-1

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Draw vs Xingbin Luo (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alfian Poon (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs shuyang zhao (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Draw	✗	0.30	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Yingming Zhao

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Avinash Vellavan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs shao qi Chen (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

weizhe zheng

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Lin Yancheng (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Youcheng Kong (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Jianan Zhou

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs James Lewis (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Chun Kin Tse (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Xinchun Wang

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jiaang Shi (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

大昕刘

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Zihan Xu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Hao Ru Wu

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Y u Tang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

QIN WEN HU

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs 忠泽蔡 (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.