Enigma

Enigma

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

38th 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
Kayo
25:75
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Hovin Wong (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77
Ira, Crimson Haze
20:80
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79
Briar
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs XIAO LU (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Valda Brightaxe
75:25
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 77:23
Kayo
!!
25:75
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs yang yang (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Valda Brightaxe
75:25
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs David Yau (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 77:23
Valda Brightaxe
75:25
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 77:23
Valda Brightaxe
75:25
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 77:23
Valda Brightaxe
75:25
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 77:23
Ira, Crimson Haze
20:80
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79
Kayo
25:75
R11 SAGE
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77
Fai
20:80
R12 SAGE
Round 12: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 18:82
dropped 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Valda Brightaxe
75:25
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Xinyu Gu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 77:23
Kayo
25:75
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs hongrui yin (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77
Oldhim
100:0
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Oldhim) - Expected: 98:2
Ira, Crimson Haze
20:80
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79
Dorinthea
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Xiangjun Dai (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45
Dorinthea
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45
Dorinthea
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs YIKAI WANG (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45
dropped 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
4.1
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Chong Chi fu ()
Valda Brightaxe
!!
75:25
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Briar
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs li shuo (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Kayo
25:75
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Teoh Juwern (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77
Kayo
25:75
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Zeng sizhe (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77
Kayo
!!
25:75
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Jun Yan Cai (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Kayo
!!
25:75
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs 宇田 龚 (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.