Vynnset

Vynnset

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 4-3-1
62%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
Ira, Crimson Haze
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs 沈 海江 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41
Kayo
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Hayden Dale (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44
Valda Brightaxe
20:80
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Holík (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 19:81
Kayo
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs 宇田 龚 (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44
Valda Brightaxe
!!
20:80
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Zihan Xu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Ira, Crimson Haze
60:40
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs logan boyd (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41
Briar
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Bangliang Liu (Briar) - Expected: 45:55
Ira, Crimson Haze
60:40
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Draw vs Oh Oh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41
dropped 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.4
Diff
Briar
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Zhengyuan Duan (Briar) - Expected: 45:55
Ira, Crimson Haze
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41
Dash
70:30
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs William Bucknall (Dash) - Expected: 70:30
Valda Brightaxe
20:80
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 19:81
Kayo
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Rocko Yan (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44
Ira, Crimson Haze
60:40
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41
Valda Brightaxe
!!
20:80
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Xinyu Gu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
dropped 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
Kayo
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Andy Liang (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44
Briar
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Bangliang Liu (Briar) - Expected: 45:55
Briar
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Tang Wei (Briar) - Expected: 45:55
Oldhim
!
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs 超 陆 (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Valda Brightaxe
20:80
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs David Yau (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 19:81
Briar
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs li shuo (Briar) - Expected: 45:55
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
Kayo
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Cao (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44
Valda Brightaxe
20:80
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 19:81
Ira, Crimson Haze
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs YuChen Liu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41
Briar
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs shuyang zhao (Briar) - Expected: 45:55
Oldhim
40:60
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Xingbin Luo (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.