Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Battle Hardened: Phuket

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

15 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

(IG) Davin

5th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mortal Absolute (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jose Lau (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Liang Hsi Ho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.68
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ho Wei jie.

5th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marcus Shum (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs kantanat poom chukiat (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cesar Yrick Sevilla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs (IG) Davin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.25
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.35
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Yi Jun Loh

9th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs (IG) Yehan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Long Dao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs yi chuan lai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ricky Lianto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs (IG) Davin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.18
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.60
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Long Dao

11th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs See Atlantis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sam Lau (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.55
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

kouji hamada

21st • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Julianto (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lane Thomason (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Justin Cu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Clinton Ng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-

Ran Sasaki

37th • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Seb Kho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs York kwok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Melvin Chew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Abbey Fong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Shing Tsang

dropped • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Keith Yong (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs York kwok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Odi Winata (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.11
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.64
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.85
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.05
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Cesar Yrick Sevilla

dropped • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jamal Armand (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Rocko Yan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shawn Rayson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Geoffrey Benawar (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.33
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Draw	✓	0.73	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Clinton Ng

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eric Cheong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shing Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.33
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mortal Absolute

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs (IG) Davin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Si-Jie Gao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.42
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.40
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.53
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Cliff Wong

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hilmi Halim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kenneth Kong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Si-Jie Gao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs York kwok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Witthawat Phanthanitlert

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Yuen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Abbey Fong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Jason Lo

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kenneth Vui Khen Liew (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

See Atlantis

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Long Dao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Marcus Shum

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kingman Leung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.