Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Battle Hardened: Phuket

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eugene C

35th • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mortal Absolute (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Wei Jian Gan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jason Lo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David Tham (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 27:73

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs WEI JIE CHAI (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Timothy Teo

dropped • 3-2-1

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fauzi I (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sam Lau (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Allen Lau (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Vincent Yuen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 27:73

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	25%	Draw	✗	0.27	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

ChangSheng Sze Tho

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tay Yong Chain (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fauzi I (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.57
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jose Lau

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs John Patrick Dogelio (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs (IG) Davin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jun Jek Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.