Kano, Dracai of Aether
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs See Atlantis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Cheong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jun Jek Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mortal Absolute (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lane Thomason (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
29th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Lau (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenneth Kong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
33rd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xie Hang Yeo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Rayson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kingman Leung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lexiss Pong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Tham (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs (IG) Yehan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Melvin Chew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.