Kano, Dracai of Aether at Battle Hardened: Phuket
Kano, Dracai of Aether
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs See Atlantis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 91:9
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Cheong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Round 4: Win vs Jun Jek Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mortal Absolute (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lane Thomason (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
29th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Lau (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenneth Kong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
33rd • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xie Hang Yeo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Rayson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kingman Leung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lexiss Pong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Tham (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs (IG) Yehan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Melvin Chew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.