Katsu, the Wanderer at Battle Hardened: Phuket

Katsu, the Wanderer

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

WEI JIE CHAI

36th • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lexiss Pong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs (IG) Yehan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kenneth Kong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Kelvin Law

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs WEI JIE CHAI (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs shirui wu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.52
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.81
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Jun Jek Wong

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Melvin Chew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jose Lau (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.21
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.51
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Nicholas Tan (Nickay)

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs (IG) Yehan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.51
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.82
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Shawn Rayson

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cesar Yrick Sevilla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.35
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

yi chuan lai

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.80	0.58
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.