Katsu, the Wanderer at Battle Hardened: Phuket
Katsu, the Wanderer
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
36th • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Lexiss Pong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs (IG) Yehan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kenneth Kong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 7: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs WEI JIE CHAI (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs shirui wu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Melvin Chew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Lau (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs (IG) Yehan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
Round 5: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cesar Yrick Sevilla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.