Prism, Awakener of Sol at Battle Hardened: Phuket

Prism, Awakener of Sol

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Geoffrey Benawar

15th • 5-1-1

43%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Abbey Fong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Galaxy Yang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Liang Hsi Ho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Cesar Yrick Sevilla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.10
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.31
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Draw	✗	0.33	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.62
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.64

Austin Somers

14th • 5-2-0

29%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.10
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.64
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.80
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.58

Cheuk Lun Tsang

30th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Rayson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs York kwok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.18
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.36
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.96
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.