Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire at Battle Hardened: Phuket

Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Xincheng Hou

16th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hilmi Halim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Austin Somers (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Lau (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Timothy Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.11
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.47
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.92
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.48

Tobias Schmiedeberg

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Galaxy Yang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Yuen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

shirui wu

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kenneth Kong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Kenneth Vui Khen Liew

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jack Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Xie Hang Yeo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jason Lo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Allen Lau

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Tham (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.53
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.